World Leaders Blog

At just hours from the election on november 4th. here’s the picture:

Very simple, Obama wins and is the 44th. US president.

His campaign will be studied very hard in the future due to some very important new strategic moves. In previous elections the country was divided in blue states (democrat) and red states (republican), with a few “battleground” states. Basically, in the last elections the campaign came down to a handfull of these battleground states, each side counting on their safe states. Whoever won these battleground states, or most of them, won the election.

In this election the Obama campaign went in very hard in quite a few safe republican states, and has a good chance of picking up a few of them, even including McCain’s home state of Arizona. McCain on the other hand has been playing defense in supposedly safe states, not really fighting in blue states except for pennsylvania. So, former red states like colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and Virginia are now leaning or for Obama.

As of now the only thing uncertain in the election is voter turnout. Will the democrat voters be so confident that they won’t go to vote? Will the famous Republican “last 72 hours get out the vote” machine work? Or are the republican voters seing their party lose and therefore not bothering to turn out?

One thing is certain, due to very heavy voter registration, mainly pushed by Democrats, the voting lines will be awesome in some areas. But voters seem to be motivated by this election, so most will put up with the long lines and sundry glitches that might happen.